Publications
Refereed Publications
* Denotes Co-First Authors
[40] Lojko, A., A. F. Prein, B. Z. Ribeiro, and A. C. Winters, 2026: Warm-conveyor belt persistence and upstream cyclone tilt shape the predictability of a Rossby wave breaking event. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 131, e2025JD045396, doi: 10.1029/2025JD045396 [PDF].
[39] Zhang, C., A. C. Winters, J. Coupe, and O. B. Toon, 2026: Simulated response of extreme moisture transport to nuclear conflict. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 131, e2026JD047632, doi: 10.1029/2026JD047632. [PDF]
[38] Barroll, J., B. Livneh, and A. C. Winters, 2026: Teleconnections and topography: How snowpack prediction using sea surface temperature varies within the Colorado Rocky Mountains. J. Climate, 39, 5605–5623, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0633.1. [PDF]
[37] Chung, S., C. Park, Y. Kwon, S.-W. Son, A. C. Winters, and W. Dong, 2026: Hysteresis in global atmospheric river activity under carbon dioxide removal. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 9, 186, doi: 10.1038/s41612-026-01454-0. [PDF]
[36] *Henderson, S. A., and *A. C. Winters, 2026: The influence of subseasonal-to-seasonal modes of variability on medium-range North Pacific jet stream forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 41, 1393–1411, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-25-0170.1. [PDF]
[35] Michael, Z. R., and A. C. Winters, 2026: A strong cold front climatology for eastern Colorado, 1950–2022. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatology, 65, 899–919, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-25-0046.1. [PDF]
[34] Ferguson, C. R., H.-J. Song, A. C. Winters, and M. C. Beauharnois, 2026: Snow and soil moisture impacts on the Great Plains low-level jet and U.S. hydroclimate. Clim. Dyn, 64, 2, doi: 10.1007/s00382-025-07904-4. [PDF]
[33] Mazza, E., S. S. Chen, B. Kerns, and A. C. Winters, 2025: Multiscale drivers of extreme southern California flooding: ENSO, MJO, North Pacific jet and atmospheric rivers. npj Clim. and Atmos. Sci., 8, 376, doi: 10.1038/s41612-025-01242-2. [PDF]
[32] Larson, M. L., and A. C. Winters, 2025: A climatology of lee cyclones across the central United States, 1980–2021. Mon. Wea. Rev., 153, 2613–2333, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-25-0013.1. [PDF]
[31] Reiher, C. A. and A. C. Winters, 2025: Synoptic-scale predictability of a mixed-phase precipitation event during the WINTRE-MIX field campaign. Wea. Forecasting, 40, 1729–1747, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-24-0206.1. [PDF]
[30] Baiman R., A. C. Winters, K. Mayer, and C. A. Reiher, 2025: Disentangling regional drivers of top Antarctic snowfall days with a convolutional neural network. Geophys. Res. Lett., 52, e2025GL115254, doi: 10.1029/2025GL115254. [PDF]
[29] Beaty, P. T., J. E. Martin, A. C. Winters, and G. Lackmann, 2025: An unusual case of rapid cyclogenesis in the northeast Pacific Basin. Overview and piecewise PV inversion. Mon. Wea. Rev. 153, 1625–1649, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-24-0198.1. [PDF]
[28] Maclennan, M. L., A. C. Winters, C. A. Shields, R. Thaker, L. Barthelemy, F. Codron, and J. D. Wille, 2025: Rising atmospheric moisture escalates the future impact of atmospheric rivers in the Antarctic climate system. Nature Communications Earth and Environment. 6, 369, doi: 10.1038/s43247-025-02333-x. [PDF]
[27] Meehl, G. A., C. A. Shields, B. M. Myers, M. L. Larson, D. Durran, M. Pasha, A. Morales, A. Subramanian, A. C. Winters, P. Schlatter, and M. Weisman, 2025: Earth, wind and fire: Are Boulder’s extreme downslope winds changing? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 106, E1370–E1391, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0091.1. [PDF]
[26] Lojko, A., A. C. Winters, A. Oertel, C. Jablonowski, and A. E. Payne, 2025: An ERA5 climatology of synoptic-scale negative potential vorticity-jet interactions over the western North Atlantic. Wea. Clim. Dyn., 6, 387–411, doi: 10.5194/wcd-6-387-2025. [PDF]
[25] Wille, J. D., V. Favier, I. V. Gorodetskaya, C. Agosta, R. Baiman, J. Barrett, L. Barthelemy, B. Boza, D. Bozkurt, M. Casado, A. Chyhareva, K. Clem, F. Codron, R. Datta, C. Durán-Alarcón, D. Francis, A. Hoffman, M. Kolbe, S. Krakovska, G. Linscott, M. Maclennan, K. Mattingly, Y. Mu, B. Pohl, C. Santos, C. Shields, E. Toker, A. C. Winters, Z. Yin, X. Zou, C. Zhang, and Z. Zhang, 2025: Atmospheric rivers in Antarctica. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 6, 178–192, doi: 10.1038/s43017-024-00638-7. [PDF]
[24] Winters, A. C., N. P. Bassill, J. R. Gyakum, and J. R. Minder, 2024: Regime-dependent characteristics and predictability of cold season precipitation events in the St. Lawrence River Valley. Wea. Forecasting, 39, 1353–1375, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-23-0218.1 [PDF]
[23] Laiho, R., K. Friedrich, and A. C. Winters, 2024: Synoptic-scale meteorological patterns associated with heavy rainfall in the Minnesota region. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatology, 63, 837–854, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0241.1 [PDF]
[22] Wille, J. D., B. Pohl, V. Favier, A. C. Winters, R. Baiman, S. Cavallo, C. L. dos Santos, K. Clem, D. G. Udy, T. R. Vance, I. Gorodetskaya, F. Codron, and A. Berchet, 2024: Examining atmospheric river life cycles in east Antarctica. JGR: Atmospheres, 129, e2023JD039970, doi: 10.1029/2023JD039970 [PDF]
[21] Higgins, T. B., A. Subramanian, W. Chapman, D. Lavers, and A. C. Winters, 2024: Subseasonal potential predictability of horizontal water vapor transport and precipitation extremes in the North Pacific. Wea. Forecasting, 39, 833–846, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-23-0170.1 [PDF]
[20] Baiman, R. L., A. C. Winters, B. Pohl, V. Favier, J. D. Wille, K. R. Clem, 2024: Synoptic and planetary-scale dynamics modulate Antarctic Atmospheric River Precipitation Intensity. Nature Communications Earth and Environment, 5, 127, doi: 10.1038/s43247-024-01307-9. [PDF]
[19] Reiher, C. A. and A. C. Winters, 2024: Discriminating factors that favor the development of high-impact weather events in association with polar–subtropical jet superpositions. Mon. Wea. Rev., 152, 909–924, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-23-0061.1 [PDF]
[18] Larson, M. L., A. C. Winters, and P. T. Schlatter, 2024: Downslope wind verification of the National Blend of Models v4.0 across the northern Front Range of Colorado during the 2020/2021 cool season. J. Operational Meteorology, 12, 72–92, doi: 10.15191/nwajom.2024.1206 [PDF]
[17] Minder, J. R., N. Bassill, F. Fabry, J. R. French, K. Friedrich, I. Gultepe, J. Gyakum, D. E. Kingsmill, K. Kosiba, M. Lachapelle, D. Michelson, L. Nichman, C. Nguyen, J. M. Theriault, A. C. Winters, M. Wolde, J. Wurman, 2023: P-type processes and predictability: The Winter Precipitation Type Research Multiscale Experiment (WINTRE-MIX). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E1469–E1492, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0095.1 [PDF]
[16] Baiman, R. L., A. C. Winters, J. T. M. Lenaerts, and C. A. Shields, 2023: Synoptic drivers of atmospheric river induced precipitation near Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica. JGR-Atmospheres, 128, e2022JD037859, doi: 10.1029/2022JD0378859 [PDF]
[15] Maclennan, M. L., J. T. M. Lenaerts, C. A. Shields, A. O. Hoffman, N. Wever, M. Thompson-Munson, A. C. Winters, E. C. Pettit, T. A. Scambos, and J. D. Wille, 2023: Climatology and surface impacts of atmospheric rivers on west Antarctica. The Cryosphere, 17, 865–881, doi: 10.5194/tc-17-865-2023. [PDF].
[14] Laiho, R., K. Friedrich, and A. C. Winters, 2023: Characteristics of warm season heavy rainfall in Minnesota. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 163–177, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-21-0186.1 [PDF]
[13] Winters, A. C. and H. E. Attard, 2022: North Pacific and North Atlantic jet covariability and its relationship to cool season temperature and precipitation extremes. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 1581–1600, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-21-0203.1 [PDF]
[12] Winters, A. C. and C. L. Walker, 2022: A jet-centered framework for investigating High Plains winter storm severity. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatology, 61, 709–728, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-21-0211.1 [PDF]
[11] Winters, A. C., 2021: Subseasonal prediction of the state and evolution of the North Pacific jet stream. JGR:Atmospheres, 126, e2021JD035094, doi: 10.1029/2021JD035094 [PDF]
[10] Winters, A. C., 2021: Kinematic processes contributing to the intensification of anomalously-strong North Atlantic jets. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 147, 2506–2532, doi: 10.1002/qj.4037 [PDF]
[9] Winters, A. C., D. Keyser, and L. F. Bosart, 2020: Composite vertical-motion patterns near North American polar–subtropical jet superposition events. Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 4565–4585, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-20-0140.1 [PDF]
[8] Winters, A. C., D. Keyser, L. F. Bosart, and J. E. Martin, 2020: Composite synoptic-scale environments conducive to North American polar–subtropical jet superposition events. Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 1987–2008, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-19-0353.1 [PDF]
[7] Winters, A. C., L. F. Bosart, and D. Keyser, 2019: Antecedent North Pacific jet regimes conducive to the development of continental U.S. extreme temperature events during the cool season. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 393–414, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-18-0168.1 [PDF]
[6] Winters, A. C., D. Keyser, and L. F. Bosart, 2019: The development of the North Pacific Jet Phase Diagram as an objective tool to monitor the state and forecast skill of the upper-tropospheric flow pattern. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 199–219, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-18-0106.1 [PDF]
[5] Schultz, D. M., L. F. Bosart, B. A. Colle, H. C. Davies, C. Dearden, D. Keyser, O. Martius, P. J. Roebber, W. J. Steenburgh, H. Volkert, and A. C. Winters, 2019: Extratropical cyclones: A century of research on meteorology's centerpiece. A Century of Progress in Atmospheric and Related Sciences: Celebrating the American Meteorological Society Centennial, G. McFarquhar, Ed., Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi: 10.1175/AMSMONOGRAPHS-D-18-0015.1 [PDF]
[4] Winters, A. C., and J. E. Martin, 2017: Diagnosis of a North American polar–subtropical jet superposition employing piecewise potential vorticity inversion. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 1853–1873, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0262.1 [PDF]
[3] Winters, A. C., and J. E. Martin, 2016: Synoptic and mesoscale processes supporting vertical superposition of the polar and subtropical jets in two contrasting cases. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 142, 1133–1149, doi: 10.1002/qj.2718 [PDF]
[2] Winters, A. C., and J. E. Martin, 2014: The role of a polar/subtropical jet superposition in the May 2010 Nashville Flood. Wea. Forecasting, 29, 954–974, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-13-00124.1 [PDF]
[1] Smith, B. T., T. E. Castellanos, A. C. Winters, C. M. Mead, A. R. Dean, and R. L. Thompson, 2013: Measured severe convective wind climatology and associated convective modes of thunderstorms in the contiguous United States, 2003–09. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 229–236, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-12-00096.1 [PDF]
Submitted Publications
[41] Favier, V., J. Blanchet, N. Dutrievoz, B. Pohl, K. R. Clem, L. Barthelemy, V. Buffet, J. D. Wille, F. Codron, D. Bozkurt, R. Baiman, A. C. Winters, I. Gorodetskaya, T. Vance, and D. Udy: Extreme temperature trends in Antarctica exacerbated by explosive atmospheric rivers. Nature Communications Earth and Environment [in review]
[42] Morales, A., M. Gallagher, M. J. Molina, A. C. Winters, M. Meyers, M. R. Abel, K. Mahoney, G. de Boer, W. Rudisill, R. Baiman, B. Moore, and A. Flores: Connecting large-scale weather patterns to simulated cold-season precipitation in the East River Watershed of Colorado. J. Hydrometeorology [in review]
[43] Martin, J. E., P. T. Beaty, A. C. Winters, and G. M. Lackmann: An unusual case of rapid cyclogenesis in the northeast Pacific Basin: The development and influence of an upper-level jet/front on rapid cyclogenesis. Mon. Wea. Rev. [in review]
[44] Tang, Q., J.-C. Golaz, W. Lin, J. D. Wolfe, D. Hao, B. E. Harrop, M. Wu, X. Shi, S. Zhang, T. Zhou, J. Zhang, H. Wang, M. A. Brunke, Y. Hao, L. R. Leung, J. Lee, J. Mao, K. Sakaguchi, T. Su, C. R. Terai, A. C. Winters, S. Xie, X. Zeng, Y. Zhang, and Q. Zhu: Overview of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model Version 3: The regionally refined model configuration. J. Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. [in review]
* Denotes Co-First Authors
[40] Lojko, A., A. F. Prein, B. Z. Ribeiro, and A. C. Winters, 2026: Warm-conveyor belt persistence and upstream cyclone tilt shape the predictability of a Rossby wave breaking event. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 131, e2025JD045396, doi: 10.1029/2025JD045396 [PDF].
[39] Zhang, C., A. C. Winters, J. Coupe, and O. B. Toon, 2026: Simulated response of extreme moisture transport to nuclear conflict. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 131, e2026JD047632, doi: 10.1029/2026JD047632. [PDF]
[38] Barroll, J., B. Livneh, and A. C. Winters, 2026: Teleconnections and topography: How snowpack prediction using sea surface temperature varies within the Colorado Rocky Mountains. J. Climate, 39, 5605–5623, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0633.1. [PDF]
[37] Chung, S., C. Park, Y. Kwon, S.-W. Son, A. C. Winters, and W. Dong, 2026: Hysteresis in global atmospheric river activity under carbon dioxide removal. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 9, 186, doi: 10.1038/s41612-026-01454-0. [PDF]
[36] *Henderson, S. A., and *A. C. Winters, 2026: The influence of subseasonal-to-seasonal modes of variability on medium-range North Pacific jet stream forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 41, 1393–1411, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-25-0170.1. [PDF]
[35] Michael, Z. R., and A. C. Winters, 2026: A strong cold front climatology for eastern Colorado, 1950–2022. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatology, 65, 899–919, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-25-0046.1. [PDF]
[34] Ferguson, C. R., H.-J. Song, A. C. Winters, and M. C. Beauharnois, 2026: Snow and soil moisture impacts on the Great Plains low-level jet and U.S. hydroclimate. Clim. Dyn, 64, 2, doi: 10.1007/s00382-025-07904-4. [PDF]
[33] Mazza, E., S. S. Chen, B. Kerns, and A. C. Winters, 2025: Multiscale drivers of extreme southern California flooding: ENSO, MJO, North Pacific jet and atmospheric rivers. npj Clim. and Atmos. Sci., 8, 376, doi: 10.1038/s41612-025-01242-2. [PDF]
[32] Larson, M. L., and A. C. Winters, 2025: A climatology of lee cyclones across the central United States, 1980–2021. Mon. Wea. Rev., 153, 2613–2333, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-25-0013.1. [PDF]
[31] Reiher, C. A. and A. C. Winters, 2025: Synoptic-scale predictability of a mixed-phase precipitation event during the WINTRE-MIX field campaign. Wea. Forecasting, 40, 1729–1747, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-24-0206.1. [PDF]
[30] Baiman R., A. C. Winters, K. Mayer, and C. A. Reiher, 2025: Disentangling regional drivers of top Antarctic snowfall days with a convolutional neural network. Geophys. Res. Lett., 52, e2025GL115254, doi: 10.1029/2025GL115254. [PDF]
[29] Beaty, P. T., J. E. Martin, A. C. Winters, and G. Lackmann, 2025: An unusual case of rapid cyclogenesis in the northeast Pacific Basin. Overview and piecewise PV inversion. Mon. Wea. Rev. 153, 1625–1649, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-24-0198.1. [PDF]
[28] Maclennan, M. L., A. C. Winters, C. A. Shields, R. Thaker, L. Barthelemy, F. Codron, and J. D. Wille, 2025: Rising atmospheric moisture escalates the future impact of atmospheric rivers in the Antarctic climate system. Nature Communications Earth and Environment. 6, 369, doi: 10.1038/s43247-025-02333-x. [PDF]
[27] Meehl, G. A., C. A. Shields, B. M. Myers, M. L. Larson, D. Durran, M. Pasha, A. Morales, A. Subramanian, A. C. Winters, P. Schlatter, and M. Weisman, 2025: Earth, wind and fire: Are Boulder’s extreme downslope winds changing? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 106, E1370–E1391, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0091.1. [PDF]
[26] Lojko, A., A. C. Winters, A. Oertel, C. Jablonowski, and A. E. Payne, 2025: An ERA5 climatology of synoptic-scale negative potential vorticity-jet interactions over the western North Atlantic. Wea. Clim. Dyn., 6, 387–411, doi: 10.5194/wcd-6-387-2025. [PDF]
[25] Wille, J. D., V. Favier, I. V. Gorodetskaya, C. Agosta, R. Baiman, J. Barrett, L. Barthelemy, B. Boza, D. Bozkurt, M. Casado, A. Chyhareva, K. Clem, F. Codron, R. Datta, C. Durán-Alarcón, D. Francis, A. Hoffman, M. Kolbe, S. Krakovska, G. Linscott, M. Maclennan, K. Mattingly, Y. Mu, B. Pohl, C. Santos, C. Shields, E. Toker, A. C. Winters, Z. Yin, X. Zou, C. Zhang, and Z. Zhang, 2025: Atmospheric rivers in Antarctica. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 6, 178–192, doi: 10.1038/s43017-024-00638-7. [PDF]
[24] Winters, A. C., N. P. Bassill, J. R. Gyakum, and J. R. Minder, 2024: Regime-dependent characteristics and predictability of cold season precipitation events in the St. Lawrence River Valley. Wea. Forecasting, 39, 1353–1375, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-23-0218.1 [PDF]
[23] Laiho, R., K. Friedrich, and A. C. Winters, 2024: Synoptic-scale meteorological patterns associated with heavy rainfall in the Minnesota region. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatology, 63, 837–854, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0241.1 [PDF]
[22] Wille, J. D., B. Pohl, V. Favier, A. C. Winters, R. Baiman, S. Cavallo, C. L. dos Santos, K. Clem, D. G. Udy, T. R. Vance, I. Gorodetskaya, F. Codron, and A. Berchet, 2024: Examining atmospheric river life cycles in east Antarctica. JGR: Atmospheres, 129, e2023JD039970, doi: 10.1029/2023JD039970 [PDF]
[21] Higgins, T. B., A. Subramanian, W. Chapman, D. Lavers, and A. C. Winters, 2024: Subseasonal potential predictability of horizontal water vapor transport and precipitation extremes in the North Pacific. Wea. Forecasting, 39, 833–846, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-23-0170.1 [PDF]
[20] Baiman, R. L., A. C. Winters, B. Pohl, V. Favier, J. D. Wille, K. R. Clem, 2024: Synoptic and planetary-scale dynamics modulate Antarctic Atmospheric River Precipitation Intensity. Nature Communications Earth and Environment, 5, 127, doi: 10.1038/s43247-024-01307-9. [PDF]
[19] Reiher, C. A. and A. C. Winters, 2024: Discriminating factors that favor the development of high-impact weather events in association with polar–subtropical jet superpositions. Mon. Wea. Rev., 152, 909–924, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-23-0061.1 [PDF]
[18] Larson, M. L., A. C. Winters, and P. T. Schlatter, 2024: Downslope wind verification of the National Blend of Models v4.0 across the northern Front Range of Colorado during the 2020/2021 cool season. J. Operational Meteorology, 12, 72–92, doi: 10.15191/nwajom.2024.1206 [PDF]
[17] Minder, J. R., N. Bassill, F. Fabry, J. R. French, K. Friedrich, I. Gultepe, J. Gyakum, D. E. Kingsmill, K. Kosiba, M. Lachapelle, D. Michelson, L. Nichman, C. Nguyen, J. M. Theriault, A. C. Winters, M. Wolde, J. Wurman, 2023: P-type processes and predictability: The Winter Precipitation Type Research Multiscale Experiment (WINTRE-MIX). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E1469–E1492, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0095.1 [PDF]
[16] Baiman, R. L., A. C. Winters, J. T. M. Lenaerts, and C. A. Shields, 2023: Synoptic drivers of atmospheric river induced precipitation near Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica. JGR-Atmospheres, 128, e2022JD037859, doi: 10.1029/2022JD0378859 [PDF]
[15] Maclennan, M. L., J. T. M. Lenaerts, C. A. Shields, A. O. Hoffman, N. Wever, M. Thompson-Munson, A. C. Winters, E. C. Pettit, T. A. Scambos, and J. D. Wille, 2023: Climatology and surface impacts of atmospheric rivers on west Antarctica. The Cryosphere, 17, 865–881, doi: 10.5194/tc-17-865-2023. [PDF].
[14] Laiho, R., K. Friedrich, and A. C. Winters, 2023: Characteristics of warm season heavy rainfall in Minnesota. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 163–177, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-21-0186.1 [PDF]
[13] Winters, A. C. and H. E. Attard, 2022: North Pacific and North Atlantic jet covariability and its relationship to cool season temperature and precipitation extremes. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 1581–1600, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-21-0203.1 [PDF]
[12] Winters, A. C. and C. L. Walker, 2022: A jet-centered framework for investigating High Plains winter storm severity. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatology, 61, 709–728, doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-21-0211.1 [PDF]
[11] Winters, A. C., 2021: Subseasonal prediction of the state and evolution of the North Pacific jet stream. JGR:Atmospheres, 126, e2021JD035094, doi: 10.1029/2021JD035094 [PDF]
[10] Winters, A. C., 2021: Kinematic processes contributing to the intensification of anomalously-strong North Atlantic jets. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 147, 2506–2532, doi: 10.1002/qj.4037 [PDF]
[9] Winters, A. C., D. Keyser, and L. F. Bosart, 2020: Composite vertical-motion patterns near North American polar–subtropical jet superposition events. Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 4565–4585, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-20-0140.1 [PDF]
[8] Winters, A. C., D. Keyser, L. F. Bosart, and J. E. Martin, 2020: Composite synoptic-scale environments conducive to North American polar–subtropical jet superposition events. Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 1987–2008, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-19-0353.1 [PDF]
[7] Winters, A. C., L. F. Bosart, and D. Keyser, 2019: Antecedent North Pacific jet regimes conducive to the development of continental U.S. extreme temperature events during the cool season. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 393–414, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-18-0168.1 [PDF]
[6] Winters, A. C., D. Keyser, and L. F. Bosart, 2019: The development of the North Pacific Jet Phase Diagram as an objective tool to monitor the state and forecast skill of the upper-tropospheric flow pattern. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 199–219, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-18-0106.1 [PDF]
[5] Schultz, D. M., L. F. Bosart, B. A. Colle, H. C. Davies, C. Dearden, D. Keyser, O. Martius, P. J. Roebber, W. J. Steenburgh, H. Volkert, and A. C. Winters, 2019: Extratropical cyclones: A century of research on meteorology's centerpiece. A Century of Progress in Atmospheric and Related Sciences: Celebrating the American Meteorological Society Centennial, G. McFarquhar, Ed., Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi: 10.1175/AMSMONOGRAPHS-D-18-0015.1 [PDF]
[4] Winters, A. C., and J. E. Martin, 2017: Diagnosis of a North American polar–subtropical jet superposition employing piecewise potential vorticity inversion. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 1853–1873, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0262.1 [PDF]
[3] Winters, A. C., and J. E. Martin, 2016: Synoptic and mesoscale processes supporting vertical superposition of the polar and subtropical jets in two contrasting cases. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 142, 1133–1149, doi: 10.1002/qj.2718 [PDF]
[2] Winters, A. C., and J. E. Martin, 2014: The role of a polar/subtropical jet superposition in the May 2010 Nashville Flood. Wea. Forecasting, 29, 954–974, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-13-00124.1 [PDF]
[1] Smith, B. T., T. E. Castellanos, A. C. Winters, C. M. Mead, A. R. Dean, and R. L. Thompson, 2013: Measured severe convective wind climatology and associated convective modes of thunderstorms in the contiguous United States, 2003–09. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 229–236, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-12-00096.1 [PDF]
Submitted Publications
[41] Favier, V., J. Blanchet, N. Dutrievoz, B. Pohl, K. R. Clem, L. Barthelemy, V. Buffet, J. D. Wille, F. Codron, D. Bozkurt, R. Baiman, A. C. Winters, I. Gorodetskaya, T. Vance, and D. Udy: Extreme temperature trends in Antarctica exacerbated by explosive atmospheric rivers. Nature Communications Earth and Environment [in review]
[42] Morales, A., M. Gallagher, M. J. Molina, A. C. Winters, M. Meyers, M. R. Abel, K. Mahoney, G. de Boer, W. Rudisill, R. Baiman, B. Moore, and A. Flores: Connecting large-scale weather patterns to simulated cold-season precipitation in the East River Watershed of Colorado. J. Hydrometeorology [in review]
[43] Martin, J. E., P. T. Beaty, A. C. Winters, and G. M. Lackmann: An unusual case of rapid cyclogenesis in the northeast Pacific Basin: The development and influence of an upper-level jet/front on rapid cyclogenesis. Mon. Wea. Rev. [in review]
[44] Tang, Q., J.-C. Golaz, W. Lin, J. D. Wolfe, D. Hao, B. E. Harrop, M. Wu, X. Shi, S. Zhang, T. Zhou, J. Zhang, H. Wang, M. A. Brunke, Y. Hao, L. R. Leung, J. Lee, J. Mao, K. Sakaguchi, T. Su, C. R. Terai, A. C. Winters, S. Xie, X. Zeng, Y. Zhang, and Q. Zhu: Overview of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model Version 3: The regionally refined model configuration. J. Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. [in review]
